{"id":1917,"date":"2026-06-07T12:33:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-07T12:33:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1917"},"modified":"2026-06-07T12:33:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-07T12:33:58","slug":"morgan-stanley-raises-cien-stock-target-after-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1917","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley raises CIEN stock target after earnings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ciena (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/quote\/CIEN\" rel=\"nofollow\">CIEN<\/a>) just delivered the kind of quarter most companies dream about. Revenue jumped 40%, profit nearly quadrupled, and management raised its full-year outlook.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1915\">A wedding amid tragedy, and prison news: Josh Shaffer stories to catch up on<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/w\/wall-street\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wall Street<\/a> liked what it saw. Analyst after analyst lifted price targets on the stock, some by hundreds of dollars.<\/p>\n<p>And then <strong>shares fell anyway.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ciena (CIEN) dropped sharply right after the report, a strange way for the market to greet a record quarter and a stack of bullish new targets.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley&#8217;s update sits right at the center of that split. The bank raised its target sharply, yet left its rating untouched and landed on a number that looks odd next to where the stock actually trades.<\/p>\n<p>That mix tells you how cautiously parts of Wall Street are reading this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/tag\/artificial-intelligence\" rel=\"nofollow\">AI<\/a> winner, even after results this strong.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/experts\/analysts\/meta-marshall\">Meta Marshall<\/a> lifted her price target on Ciena to $490 from $405, a jump of about 21%, while keeping an equal-weight rating, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gurufocus.com\/news\/8903513\/cien-maintained-by-morgan-stanley-price-target-raised-to-490\">GuruFocus<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n<p>Equal-weight, in Morgan Stanley&#8217;s system, means the stock should roughly track the rest of the firm&#8217;s coverage rather than beat it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>More AI Infrastructure Stocks:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here is <strong>the detail that stands out. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The new $490 target still sits below where Ciena (CIEN) traded going into the report, near $620.<\/p>\n<p>Marshall&#8217;s logic is that a stock that has more than doubled since last quarter already carries much of the good news in its price.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/2232603555\">NurPhoto \/ Getty Images<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ciena builds the optical networking gear that carries data over long distances and, increasingly, between and inside data centers. <\/p>\n<p>As AI pushes enormous volumes of data between chips and facilities, <strong>demand for that equipment has surged.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the fiscal second quarter ended May 2, revenue hit $1.57 billion, up 40% from a year earlier, and adjusted earnings reached $1.64 per share, nearly four times the year-ago level, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/0000936395\/000162828026040614\/ex9912026q2earningspressre.htm\">Ciena&#8217;s earnings release<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Direct cloud revenue grew 70% and accounted for 46% of sales, while the backlog climbed past $7.7 billion, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/0000936395\/000162828026040614\/ex9922026q2earningsprese.htm\">Ciena&#8217;s investor presentation<\/a> confirms.<\/p>\n<p>Management then guided full-year revenue to about $6.3 billion, a 32% increase, up from its prior 28% target. <\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1913\">SoftBank&#8217;s PayPay sends message to investors with $840M deal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Numbers like that explain why analysts scrambled to update their targets.<\/p>\n<p>The selloff came down to <strong>one word: supply<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>CFO <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ciena.com\/about\/leadership\/marc-graff\">Marc Graff<\/a> told analysts the company sees &#8220;an imbalance of supply not keeping pace with demand,&#8221; with constraints on certain modems, <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/news-articles\/markets\/equity\/why-is-cien-stock-falling-today-june-4\/cZ0ZjTkReyU\">Stocktwits<\/a> reported.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/a-cathie-wood-tech-stock-roku-still-down-73-from-all-time-highs\">Related: Cathie Wood&#8217;s favorite tech stock still down 73% from all-time highs<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In plain terms, Ciena has more orders than it can fill right now, so that demand cannot all convert to revenue on schedule.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley made the same point, noting that supply, not demand, is what caps the near-term story. <\/p>\n<p>Implied fourth-quarter growth slows to about 24%, and after a run that more than doubled the stock, some investors took profits.<\/p>\n<p>After the report, targets ranged widely. Rosenblatt went to $720 and Argus to $650, while Barclays moved to $607 with an overweight rating, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/cien\/\">StockAnalysis data<\/a> show.<\/p>\n<p>Against that backdrop, Morgan Stanley&#8217;s $490 and Northland&#8217;s $450 sit near the bottom of the post-earnings pack, with the average analyst target around $460, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/cien\/forecast\/\">StockAnalysis forecasts<\/a> indicate.<\/p>\n<p>The split reflects a genuine debate over whether Ciena&#8217;s roughly 37x forward earnings multiple, a premium to its own history, holds up once the supply crunch eases.<\/p>\n<p>Ciena&#8217;s business is firing on demand, margins, and backlog, and the stock&#8217;s near-term problem is timing.<\/p>\n<p>That wide target range, from $450 up to $720, tells you bulls and skeptics agree the company is winning while disagreeing sharply on what to pay for it. <\/p>\n<p>Other AI infrastructure names have shown the same push and pull, from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/hsbc-nearly-doubles-cisco-stock-price-target-from-77-to-137\">Cisco&#8217;s optics surge<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/citi-resets-intel-stock-price-target-for-the-rest-of-2026\">Intel&#8217;s server CPU rebound<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For investors, the swing factor is supply. <\/p>\n<p>Clear the bottleneck while AI orders hold, and the high targets get easier to defend. Let supply stay tight, or competition arrive early in 800ZR, and Morgan Stanley&#8217;s caution starts to look smart.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here&#8217;s one more thing to track<\/strong>: Two customers made up 34% of revenue last quarter, a concentration that adds risk if either pulls back, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/0000936395\/000162828026040614\/ex9912026q2earningspressre.htm\">Ciena&#8217;s filing<\/a> shows.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/technology\/amazon-microsoft-employees-demand-urgent-answers-from-big-techs-layoff-artificial-intelligence-ai\">Related: Amazon, Microsoft employees demand urgent answers from big tech<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1911\">Fidelity shares 7 ways to rescue lost 401(k) cash<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"summary gray\">This story was originally published <span class=\"inline-block\">June 7, 2026 at 8:07 AM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ciena (CIEN) just delivered the kind of quarter most companies dream about.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1916,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-read-todays-edition"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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