{"id":1990,"date":"2026-06-08T10:04:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T10:04:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1990"},"modified":"2026-06-08T10:04:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T10:04:48","slug":"oracles-cloud-pivot-remains-a-high-risk-bet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1990","title":{"rendered":"Oracle&#39;s cloud pivot remains a high-risk bet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve watched plenty of companies chase a hot trend and spend their way into trouble. The story usually looks thrilling on the way up and painful on the way down.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1987\">\u2018Iryna\u2019s Law\u2019 puts more people in NC\u2019s biggest jails, adds to overcrowding<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Oracle<\/strong> is the latest name testing that thesis. The software giant is pouring tens of billions of dollars into data centers to grab a slice of the artificial intelligence (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/tag\/artificial-intelligence\" rel=\"nofollow\">AI<\/a>) boom.<\/p>\n<p>The growth is real. So is the bill. <\/p>\n<p>And Oracle&#8217;s most recent quarterly report shows just how big that bill has become.<\/p>\n<p>For decades, Oracle (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/quote\/ORCL\" rel=\"nofollow\">ORCL<\/a>) operated an asset-light business. It sold software licenses and support contracts. Those products carried fat margins and needed little upfront spending.<\/p>\n<p>That model is changing fast. <\/p>\n<p>Oracle now wants to compete with Amazon, Microsoft, and Google in cloud computing. To do that, it has to buy chips, lease buildings, and build data centers. <\/p>\n<p>All of that costs significant capital.<\/p>\n<p>The shift is clear in the cash flow. In its 10-Q for the quarter ended Feb. 28, 2026:<\/p>\n<p>Oracle&#8217;s cash balance looks healthy at first glance. The <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">company<\/a> held $38.46 billion in cash at the end of February, up from $10.79 billion last May.<\/p>\n<p>But that cash balance increase was tied to its capital raising efforts. <\/p>\n<p>Strip out those one-time moves, and Oracle&#8217;s cash pile would have shrunk rather than grown.<\/p>\n<p>The borrowing has stacked up quickly. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">Oracle&#8217;s<\/a> total notes payable jumped from $92.57 billion in May 2025 to roughly $134.6 billion by late February. <\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s more than <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">$42 billion<\/a> in fresh debt in nine months. Lease commitments tied to data centers added billions more.<\/p>\n<p>To keep the money flowing, Oracle has lined up backups. <\/p>\n<p>In February 2026, it set up a <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">program<\/a> to sell up to $20 billion in new stock over time. In March, it <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">replaced<\/a> a $6 billion credit line with a larger $10 billion facility. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.in\/detail\/news-photo\/oracle-co-founder-cto-and-executive-chairman-larry-ellison-news-photo\/2197466221?adppopup=true\">Anna Moneymaker\/Getty Images<\/a><\/p>\n<p>So will Oracle run out of cash? Probably not.<\/p>\n<p>As long as banks and bond buyers keep lending, Oracle can keep building. It can refinance old debt with new debt and tap the stock market when needed.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1985\">Savannah Guthrie Shares Emotional Message Amid Mom Nancy&#8217;s Disappearance<\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, every new share sold dilutes existing shareholders&#8217; wealth, and every new bond adds interest expense that affects net income. <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/dan-ives-sends-a-blunt-message-to-investors-fleeing-oracle-stock\">Related: Dan Ives sends a blunt message to investors fleeing Oracle stock<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Oracle is betting that AI customers will fill these data centers for years to come. If that demand cools in the near term, the company is left with huge fixed costs and far less revenue to cover them.<\/p>\n<p>During the recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/e\/earnings-call\" rel=\"nofollow\">earnings call<\/a>, Oracle co-CEO <a href=\"https:\/\/app.tikr.com\/stock\/transcript?cid=22247&amp;tid=2636077&amp;e=1987490916&amp;ts=3675615&amp;ref=49x9sy\">Clay Magouyrk<\/a> stated:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Demand for AI infrastructure, both GPU and CPU continues to exceed supply. This is directly visible in our $553 billion RPO.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Cloud computing also carries thinner margins than Oracle&#8217;s old software business. <\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/491d70596e492ea3760d51a25d7a4b0b.pdf\">company&#8217;s<\/a> cloud and software expenses rose from $7.67 billion to $11.8 billion over nine months, a sign of how costly the new model is to run.<\/p>\n<p>Oracle&#8217;s cloud pivot could still pay off in a big way. Demand for AI computing is enormous, and the company has the contracts to prove it.<\/p>\n<p>But this is no longer the steady, cash-rich Oracle that investors leaned on for years. It has become a heavily borrowed company, making one of the largest bets in tech.<\/p>\n<p>For investors, that means the upside comes with significant downside. Valued at a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/m\/market-capitalization-market-cap\" rel=\"nofollow\">market cap<\/a> of $615 billion, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/quote\/ORCL\">ORCL stock<\/a> is already down 35% from all-time highs. <\/p>\n<p>Oracle&#8217;s growth story is exciting, but the financing behind it is fragile. And that mix is why its cloud pivot still looks like a high-risk bet.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/5-star-analyst-resets-oracle-stock-price-target\">Related: UBS resets Oracle stock price target<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=1983\">Wanted man who crashed car spotted riding past deputies in Lyft, NC sheriff says<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"summary gray\">This story was originally published <span class=\"inline-block\">June 8, 2026 at 4:03 AM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#39;ve watched plenty of companies chase a hot trend and spend their way into trouble.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1988,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-read-todays-edition"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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