{"id":2903,"date":"2026-06-21T08:06:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-21T08:06:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=2903"},"modified":"2026-06-21T08:06:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-21T08:06:41","slug":"veteran-analyst-sets-jaw-dropping-spacex-stock-price-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=2903","title":{"rendered":"Veteran analyst sets jaw-dropping SpaceX stock price target"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/tag\/spacex\" rel=\"nofollow\">SpaceX<\/a> (SPCX) stock slid for two straight sessions before Thursday&#8217;s close, dropping from a post-IPO high of <strong>$225.64<\/strong> to <strong>$185.00<\/strong>. Then a top <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/w\/wall-street\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wall Street<\/a> analyst made one of the boldest calls yet on the stock.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=2901\">Sharon Osbourne Misses Ozzy Statue Debut Due to \u2018Unexpected&#8217; Hospitalization<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Arete Research initiated coverage of SpaceX on June 18 with a Buy rating and <strong>a price target of $401<\/strong> a share. <\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s the highest number any analyst has put on the stock since it went public.<\/p>\n<p>Arete analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/experts\/analysts\/andrew-beale\">Andrew Beale<\/a> isn&#8217;t betting on rockets, at least not directly. Beale, a senior analyst at the firm, has been analyzing telecom and cable stocks since the 1990s. <\/p>\n<p>What makes his call particularly intriguing is that he&#8217;s betting on a satellite SpaceX hasn&#8217;t even launched yet.<\/p>\n<p>The $401 target implies roughly <strong>117% upside<\/strong> from Thursday&#8217;s closing price of $185. <\/p>\n<p>At that level, SpaceX would carry a market valuation near $5.3 trillion, or about 80 times the company&#8217;s projected 2027 sales, <a href=\"https:\/\/finbold.com\/finance-experts-set-spacex-stock-price-for-end-of-2026\/\">Finbold<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n<p>Beale&#8217;s research note described SpaceX as breaking &#8220;hard engineering challenges into stepwise tasks&#8221; while building hardware and software across <strong>three businesses at once<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p>In plain terms, Beale thinks SpaceX wins by solving one hard problem at a time, not by betting everything on a single breakthrough.<\/p>\n<p>His specific catalyst is Starlink V3, the next generation of SpaceX&#8217;s satellites. <\/p>\n<p>Beale argues V3 could unlock a sizable opportunity in suburban broadband, where home internet options are often limited, by delivering faster speeds and more capacity than today&#8217;s fleet.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1236399629\">Joe Raedle \/ Getty Images<\/a><\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a catch: <\/p>\n<p>Starlink V3 satellites are too large for SpaceX&#8217;s workhorse Falcon 9. <\/p>\n<p>They need Starship, the reusable heavy-lift vehicle SpaceX has tested for years but hasn&#8217;t yet flown a fully operational commercial mission, <a href=\"https:\/\/parameter.io\/spacex-spcx-stock-wall-street-analysts-divided-after-ipo-debut\/\">Parameter<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n<p><strong>That makes Beale&#8217;s $401 target a bet on execution timing as much as demand. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That means two separate things have to go right for the $401 target to hold up: <\/p>\n<p>If either falls short, the case weakens.<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX&#8217;s regulatory filings split the company into three segments: Space, Connectivity, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/tag\/artificial-intelligence\" rel=\"nofollow\">AI<\/a>, according to its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/1181412\/000162828026040364\/spaceexplorationtechnologib.htm\">registration statement<\/a> filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/s\/securities-exchange-commission\" rel=\"nofollow\">SEC<\/a>). <\/p>\n<p>Connectivity, which houses Starlink, is the only one consistently turning a profit.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=2899\">Amazon&#8217;s quantum ambitions might boost long-term valuation, outlast AI boom<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>More Space Stocks:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In 2025, Connectivity generated <strong>$11.39 billion in revenue<\/strong> and $4.42 billion in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/o\/operating-income\" rel=\"nofollow\">operating income<\/a>, up nearly 50% and 120% year over year. <\/p>\n<p><strong>The AI segment<\/strong>, which absorbed Musk&#8217;s xAI in February 2026, <strong>lost $6.36 billion<\/strong> on just $3.2 billion in revenue over the same period.<\/p>\n<p>This matters for Beale&#8217;s thesis, as his bull case leans almost entirely on Starlink scaling further, not on the AI business turning a profit anytime soon.<\/p>\n<p>Arete isn&#8217;t the only firm with skin in the game. <\/p>\n<p>CFRA analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/news\/spacex-gets-its-first-sell-rating-analyst-sees-29-downside-on-execution-risks\">Keith Snyder<\/a> carries a <strong>Sell rating<\/strong> and a $115 price target, the lowest on the Street, arguing SpaceX already trades on outsized growth assumptions.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/spacex-investors-watch-starship-starlink-grok\">Related: SpaceX president reveals what investors should be watching<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Oppenheimer&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/experts\/analysts\/timothy-horan\">Timothy Horan<\/a> sits in between. <\/p>\n<p>He raised his target to $250 on June 18, the same day as Arete&#8217;s call, after calling SpaceX &#8220;the only vertically integrated AI company&#8221; with the capital and talent to compete at scale.<\/p>\n<p>That $115-to-$401 spread, with other firms scattered in between, shows how unsettled the market still is on SpaceX&#8217;s worth less than two weeks after its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/i\/initial-public-offering-ipo\" rel=\"nofollow\">IPO<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Beale&#8217;s target assumes that a lot of things will break SpaceX&#8217;s way before 2027. The catalysts worth tracking include:<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX&#8217;s first earnings release as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/p\/public-company-publicly-traded\" rel=\"nofollow\">public company<\/a> lands on August 11, a date that carries extra weight since it triggers insider selling rights, Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, told <a href=\"https:\/\/finbold.com\/finance-experts-set-spacex-stock-price-for-end-of-2026\/#:~:text=Jay%20Woods%2C%20Chief%20Market%20Strategist%20at%20Freedom%20Capital%20Markets%2C%20noted%20that%20the%20first%20earnings%20report%20scheduled%20for%20August%2011%20will%20be%20important%20as%20insider%20activity%20will%20be%20allowed%20to%20pick%20up%20the%20pace%2C%20especially%20if%20share%20prices%20can%20rally%2030%25%20by%20that%20time%20and%20reach%20%24175.5.\">Finbold<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>20% of insiders can sell that day, with another 10% unlocking if shares hold 30% above the $135 IPO price for five to ten straight sessions.<\/p>\n<p>SPCX is still up about 14% over the past five trading days despite two losing sessions, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/stock-market-today\/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-nasdaq-updates-june-18-2026#:~:text=(%2B1.91%25)%20and-,S%26P%20500%20(%2B1.08%25),-weren%E2%80%99t%20terribly%20far\">the S&amp;P 500 gained roughly 1%<\/a> over the same stretch.<\/p>\n<p>Treat Beale&#8217;s $401 target as a long-term thesis that only pays off once Starship is flying commercially and launching V3 satellites on schedule.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/stocks\/spcx-spacex-stock-ai-bond-offering\">Related: SpaceX stock joins AI bond frenzy<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=2897\">Bachelor&#8217;s Blake Horstmann and Love Is Blind&#8217;s Giannina Gibelli Are Married<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"summary gray\">This story was originally published <span class=\"inline-block\">June 20, 2026 at 6:03 PM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SpaceX (SPCX) stock slid for two straight sessions before Thursday&#39;s close, dropping from a post-IPO high of $225.64 to $185.00.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2902,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-read-todays-edition"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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