{"id":3521,"date":"2026-06-29T13:06:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T13:06:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=3521"},"modified":"2026-06-29T13:06:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T13:06:18","slug":"stubborn-6-5-mortgage-rates-cause-stunning-housing-market-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=3521","title":{"rendered":"Stubborn 6.5% mortgage rates cause stunning housing market change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As mortgage rates have remained consistently high since the middle of May, attention in the housing market continues to focus on the affordability crisis that began in 2022, as post-pandemic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/i\/inflation\" rel=\"nofollow\">inflation<\/a> became the primary focus of federal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/m\/monetary-policy\" rel=\"nofollow\">monetary policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=3519\">Anthropic restores access to Mythos 5 for select organizations<\/a><\/p>\n<p>For homebuyers and sellers, that means business continues to be sluggish as the average person&#8217;s finances simply do not provide a compelling rationale for purchasing real estate.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was little changed this week at 6.49%,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/freddiemac.gcs-web.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/mortgage-rates-average-649\">wrote Freddie Mac on June 25<\/a>. &#8220;Rates have remained relatively stable over the last six weeks.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The daily 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.53% on June 26, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mortgagenewsdaily.com\/markets\/mortgage-rates-06262026\">according to Mortgage News Daily (MND)<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There weren&#8217;t any dramatic developments behind the scenes in terms of economic data or news headlines (not that we&#8217;d expect them when rates hold perfectly flat),&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mortgagenewsdaily.com\/markets\/mortgage-rates-06262026\">wrote MND<\/a> Chief Operating Officer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mortgagenewsdaily.com\/profile\/mgraham\">Matthew Graham<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on June 25, real estate technology company <a href=\"http:\/\/https;\/\/www.redfin.com\">Redfin<\/a> reported other significant developments adversely affecting the housing market, including record-high home prices and a decrease in new listings.<\/p>\n<p>Consistently high mortgage rates are only one reason for the decline in new listings.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Many would-be sellers are also buyers who are locked into a low rate,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-new-listings-decline-spring-2026\/\">Redfin explained<\/a>. &#8220;Buyers are also jittery due to widespread economic uncertainty, stemming partly from inflation and the back-and-forth on Iran peace talks.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But mortgage rates are not the only factor contributing to high housing payments.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The median home-sale price is up 2.5% year over year to a record-high $408,814,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-new-listings-decline-spring-2026\/\">wrote Redfin<\/a> data journalist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/author\/dana-andersonredfin-com\/\">Dana Anderson<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;New listings of U.S. homes for sale fell 1.7% from a week earlier during the week ending June 21 to their lowest level since February,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-new-listings-decline-spring-2026\/\">Redfin reported<\/a>. &#8220;The total number of homes for sale dipped 0.4% week over week, the biggest decline since the last week of April.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Potential home sellers are withdrawing from the market, largely driven by cooling buyer demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Pending home sales fell 0.1% week over week, a small dip but the third straight week of slight declines from their May peak, and mortgage-purchase applications fell for the second straight week,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-new-listings-decline-spring-2026\/\">wrote Redfin<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=3517\">Costco made several changes to get members to its warehouses more<\/a><\/p>\n<p>These recent developments appear to indicate that the broader home affordability crisis is showing few signs of letting up any time soon.<\/p>\n<p>The larger housing cost trend is prompting many younger Americans to reconsider whether homeownership will play any role in their financial lives, <a href=\"https:\/\/download.ssrn.com\/2025\/11\/19\/5770722.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjENj%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIQDK6K8HsBZtKybznm2L40I%2BIpdZRN9NwMG93cyZJIJ2oQIgRZohtg9E%2FlTFjCfNMPEG2i5h5F0buOIk%2FlxOphki0OAqxwUIof%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FARAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDN2V1mFT%2B%2BK5mLF0wyqbBeCRcqkJTi6pYDDypcRq9TDWoeLZDFedqL3WZ4VryPojE%2F%2FJHILhozSfRo0hD2Bgp5gT8538UcuLOjHL63NEK1lBdS92olBBwp9kgpshMtLOiiN%2FwR9%2FPHXvBAdm7WifDyWYq7dNh3ILPSW%2FrP81CQUCA1DNzhOvgNk5ypplaJ7hslwKGv%2FGso5UR%2F18blzPzabtFYmlOG6JflGS19NilyuKLnX9Xd082egiInlOJk027nx84CeYnDjrYII9%2FaKWqcXmMS2KqLMc57%2FI9F1aQUl5OEVKdckxeiKJ1ItzeT9jiEX8SwDHZguHs5id0YMeh%2BhtEb2dBlF1xHW4XZo092Z1JbZJHg6f5r%2FKJsstZ%2Bho%2FXabjAjt1bFca0YSNz1jp8rToFKsMwyq5n6c%2Bcswv9WGhC7q05ihK6Y3IJRUd3%2FydPByoyJpu7oJu1qVkA2ugMFg6pPUIQfIhhXVinDbZSKhPTMU5fB18mhwdZACvZb%2FF%2BoPo2Dmm%2BgJWuu1WUHHM179Lxcg7r12qgbNmaxEV%2Buzlw71BcQVbmzLilSl76f%2FQMXc3oCaWfktQ9SLAxQ2IwsccBZx7q95fKe0XtUcOn7Ufpksq%2BPRIKdt2fW5jMIU9g8A1YZ7I3d%2Fhhpn4Du2V9gYhDg3ndxjdCu1CrHhfB3nRq0BhyCeSaBbVr65m%2BvuSF9UCS0ZmXQh0rjuDGkBxh3qmgNia%2BfXLe7CdRdWCPRKwtTgKwRx9KVoV1gfUOCIPvNXBWibkM8yFkK8fW7PAM%2BrSqS%2B28SjrnjxVLCagwMZHTQ5z6LNa6KhZTtK447PrA2pwLQ9gNbHUWpKDDmMqgxBh8nDLOhBvyvr6b5okFM%2FEvcjlt%2BuOfSHoTQCYcDeiFXkKrYwivIllJkwo92G0gY6sQEgJVZsblouR2ElMB%2FNm9gSO%2BCp%2FOjlKGoq58U9NwZIqT2dSTVAA9MzLJBytns%2Btrzgu4HSp3zPp7UIUWNo9R7%2BOdmjrb9efAj5NyVI5xPfmVR13plgmBu5cX%2F0%2BqjAutVtIKvOwwoK4YvqJlWYPbRTWq60XQ%2BKvdWkbyBHjjZa8Lj7BXqu3ui2A6RMuMczhjOHfkh9LWlX%2Fylye%2BF98efr6%2B2gA4CGNiO3Goo%2FnzRoQyU%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20260629T001022Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEXHMU2OGH%2F20260629%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=b3c199328cf162b14fe58dc35c5ce5b8eb5511c028831f921f0c6463fcef21cc&amp;abstractId=5770722\">according to findings reported by researchers at the University of Chicago and Northwestern University<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>If the study proves to be correct, the implications signal a stunning generational shift.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Using a calibrated life-cycle model matched to U.S. data, we project that the cohort born in the 1990s will reach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/retirement\" rel=\"nofollow\">retirement<\/a> with a homeownership rate roughly 9.6 percentage points lower than that of their parents&#8217; generation,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/download.ssrn.com\/2025\/11\/19\/5770722.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjENj%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIQDK6K8HsBZtKybznm2L40I%2BIpdZRN9NwMG93cyZJIJ2oQIgRZohtg9E%2FlTFjCfNMPEG2i5h5F0buOIk%2FlxOphki0OAqxwUIof%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FARAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDN2V1mFT%2B%2BK5mLF0wyqbBeCRcqkJTi6pYDDypcRq9TDWoeLZDFedqL3WZ4VryPojE%2F%2FJHILhozSfRo0hD2Bgp5gT8538UcuLOjHL63NEK1lBdS92olBBwp9kgpshMtLOiiN%2FwR9%2FPHXvBAdm7WifDyWYq7dNh3ILPSW%2FrP81CQUCA1DNzhOvgNk5ypplaJ7hslwKGv%2FGso5UR%2F18blzPzabtFYmlOG6JflGS19NilyuKLnX9Xd082egiInlOJk027nx84CeYnDjrYII9%2FaKWqcXmMS2KqLMc57%2FI9F1aQUl5OEVKdckxeiKJ1ItzeT9jiEX8SwDHZguHs5id0YMeh%2BhtEb2dBlF1xHW4XZo092Z1JbZJHg6f5r%2FKJsstZ%2Bho%2FXabjAjt1bFca0YSNz1jp8rToFKsMwyq5n6c%2Bcswv9WGhC7q05ihK6Y3IJRUd3%2FydPByoyJpu7oJu1qVkA2ugMFg6pPUIQfIhhXVinDbZSKhPTMU5fB18mhwdZACvZb%2FF%2BoPo2Dmm%2BgJWuu1WUHHM179Lxcg7r12qgbNmaxEV%2Buzlw71BcQVbmzLilSl76f%2FQMXc3oCaWfktQ9SLAxQ2IwsccBZx7q95fKe0XtUcOn7Ufpksq%2BPRIKdt2fW5jMIU9g8A1YZ7I3d%2Fhhpn4Du2V9gYhDg3ndxjdCu1CrHhfB3nRq0BhyCeSaBbVr65m%2BvuSF9UCS0ZmXQh0rjuDGkBxh3qmgNia%2BfXLe7CdRdWCPRKwtTgKwRx9KVoV1gfUOCIPvNXBWibkM8yFkK8fW7PAM%2BrSqS%2B28SjrnjxVLCagwMZHTQ5z6LNa6KhZTtK447PrA2pwLQ9gNbHUWpKDDmMqgxBh8nDLOhBvyvr6b5okFM%2FEvcjlt%2BuOfSHoTQCYcDeiFXkKrYwivIllJkwo92G0gY6sQEgJVZsblouR2ElMB%2FNm9gSO%2BCp%2FOjlKGoq58U9NwZIqT2dSTVAA9MzLJBytns%2Btrzgu4HSp3zPp7UIUWNo9R7%2BOdmjrb9efAj5NyVI5xPfmVR13plgmBu5cX%2F0%2BqjAutVtIKvOwwoK4YvqJlWYPbRTWq60XQ%2BKvdWkbyBHjjZa8Lj7BXqu3ui2A6RMuMczhjOHfkh9LWlX%2Fylye%2BF98efr6%2B2gA4CGNiO3Goo%2FnzRoQyU%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20260629T001022Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEXHMU2OGH%2F20260629%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=b3c199328cf162b14fe58dc35c5ce5b8eb5511c028831f921f0c6463fcef21cc&amp;abstractId=5770722\">wrote researchers Seung Hyeong Lee and Younggeun Yoo<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The researchers report other concerning housing market trends.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The model also shows that as households&#8217; perceived probability of attaining homeownership falls, they systematically shift their behavior: They consume more relative to their wealth, reduce work effort, and take on riskier investments,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/download.ssrn.com\/2025\/11\/19\/5770722.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjENj%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIQDK6K8HsBZtKybznm2L40I%2BIpdZRN9NwMG93cyZJIJ2oQIgRZohtg9E%2FlTFjCfNMPEG2i5h5F0buOIk%2FlxOphki0OAqxwUIof%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FARAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDN2V1mFT%2B%2BK5mLF0wyqbBeCRcqkJTi6pYDDypcRq9TDWoeLZDFedqL3WZ4VryPojE%2F%2FJHILhozSfRo0hD2Bgp5gT8538UcuLOjHL63NEK1lBdS92olBBwp9kgpshMtLOiiN%2FwR9%2FPHXvBAdm7WifDyWYq7dNh3ILPSW%2FrP81CQUCA1DNzhOvgNk5ypplaJ7hslwKGv%2FGso5UR%2F18blzPzabtFYmlOG6JflGS19NilyuKLnX9Xd082egiInlOJk027nx84CeYnDjrYII9%2FaKWqcXmMS2KqLMc57%2FI9F1aQUl5OEVKdckxeiKJ1ItzeT9jiEX8SwDHZguHs5id0YMeh%2BhtEb2dBlF1xHW4XZo092Z1JbZJHg6f5r%2FKJsstZ%2Bho%2FXabjAjt1bFca0YSNz1jp8rToFKsMwyq5n6c%2Bcswv9WGhC7q05ihK6Y3IJRUd3%2FydPByoyJpu7oJu1qVkA2ugMFg6pPUIQfIhhXVinDbZSKhPTMU5fB18mhwdZACvZb%2FF%2BoPo2Dmm%2BgJWuu1WUHHM179Lxcg7r12qgbNmaxEV%2Buzlw71BcQVbmzLilSl76f%2FQMXc3oCaWfktQ9SLAxQ2IwsccBZx7q95fKe0XtUcOn7Ufpksq%2BPRIKdt2fW5jMIU9g8A1YZ7I3d%2Fhhpn4Du2V9gYhDg3ndxjdCu1CrHhfB3nRq0BhyCeSaBbVr65m%2BvuSF9UCS0ZmXQh0rjuDGkBxh3qmgNia%2BfXLe7CdRdWCPRKwtTgKwRx9KVoV1gfUOCIPvNXBWibkM8yFkK8fW7PAM%2BrSqS%2B28SjrnjxVLCagwMZHTQ5z6LNa6KhZTtK447PrA2pwLQ9gNbHUWpKDDmMqgxBh8nDLOhBvyvr6b5okFM%2FEvcjlt%2BuOfSHoTQCYcDeiFXkKrYwivIllJkwo92G0gY6sQEgJVZsblouR2ElMB%2FNm9gSO%2BCp%2FOjlKGoq58U9NwZIqT2dSTVAA9MzLJBytns%2Btrzgu4HSp3zPp7UIUWNo9R7%2BOdmjrb9efAj5NyVI5xPfmVR13plgmBu5cX%2F0%2BqjAutVtIKvOwwoK4YvqJlWYPbRTWq60XQ%2BKvdWkbyBHjjZa8Lj7BXqu3ui2A6RMuMczhjOHfkh9LWlX%2Fylye%2BF98efr6%2B2gA4CGNiO3Goo%2FnzRoQyU%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20260629T001022Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEXHMU2OGH%2F20260629%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=b3c199328cf162b14fe58dc35c5ce5b8eb5511c028831f921f0c6463fcef21cc&amp;abstractId=5770722\">according to the report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We show empirically that renters with relatively low wealth exhibit the same patterns,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/download.ssrn.com\/2025\/11\/19\/5770722.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjENj%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIQDK6K8HsBZtKybznm2L40I%2BIpdZRN9NwMG93cyZJIJ2oQIgRZohtg9E%2FlTFjCfNMPEG2i5h5F0buOIk%2FlxOphki0OAqxwUIof%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FARAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDN2V1mFT%2B%2BK5mLF0wyqbBeCRcqkJTi6pYDDypcRq9TDWoeLZDFedqL3WZ4VryPojE%2F%2FJHILhozSfRo0hD2Bgp5gT8538UcuLOjHL63NEK1lBdS92olBBwp9kgpshMtLOiiN%2FwR9%2FPHXvBAdm7WifDyWYq7dNh3ILPSW%2FrP81CQUCA1DNzhOvgNk5ypplaJ7hslwKGv%2FGso5UR%2F18blzPzabtFYmlOG6JflGS19NilyuKLnX9Xd082egiInlOJk027nx84CeYnDjrYII9%2FaKWqcXmMS2KqLMc57%2FI9F1aQUl5OEVKdckxeiKJ1ItzeT9jiEX8SwDHZguHs5id0YMeh%2BhtEb2dBlF1xHW4XZo092Z1JbZJHg6f5r%2FKJsstZ%2Bho%2FXabjAjt1bFca0YSNz1jp8rToFKsMwyq5n6c%2Bcswv9WGhC7q05ihK6Y3IJRUd3%2FydPByoyJpu7oJu1qVkA2ugMFg6pPUIQfIhhXVinDbZSKhPTMU5fB18mhwdZACvZb%2FF%2BoPo2Dmm%2BgJWuu1WUHHM179Lxcg7r12qgbNmaxEV%2Buzlw71BcQVbmzLilSl76f%2FQMXc3oCaWfktQ9SLAxQ2IwsccBZx7q95fKe0XtUcOn7Ufpksq%2BPRIKdt2fW5jMIU9g8A1YZ7I3d%2Fhhpn4Du2V9gYhDg3ndxjdCu1CrHhfB3nRq0BhyCeSaBbVr65m%2BvuSF9UCS0ZmXQh0rjuDGkBxh3qmgNia%2BfXLe7CdRdWCPRKwtTgKwRx9KVoV1gfUOCIPvNXBWibkM8yFkK8fW7PAM%2BrSqS%2B28SjrnjxVLCagwMZHTQ5z6LNa6KhZTtK447PrA2pwLQ9gNbHUWpKDDmMqgxBh8nDLOhBvyvr6b5okFM%2FEvcjlt%2BuOfSHoTQCYcDeiFXkKrYwivIllJkwo92G0gY6sQEgJVZsblouR2ElMB%2FNm9gSO%2BCp%2FOjlKGoq58U9NwZIqT2dSTVAA9MzLJBytns%2Btrzgu4HSp3zPp7UIUWNo9R7%2BOdmjrb9efAj5NyVI5xPfmVR13plgmBu5cX%2F0%2BqjAutVtIKvOwwoK4YvqJlWYPbRTWq60XQ%2BKvdWkbyBHjjZa8Lj7BXqu3ui2A6RMuMczhjOHfkh9LWlX%2Fylye%2BF98efr6%2B2gA4CGNiO3Goo%2FnzRoQyU%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20260629T001022Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEXHMU2OGH%2F20260629%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=b3c199328cf162b14fe58dc35c5ce5b8eb5511c028831f921f0c6463fcef21cc&amp;abstractId=5770722\">it continued<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These responses compound over the life cycle, producing substantially greater wealth dispersion between those who retain hope of homeownership and those who give up.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>To put into context the high housing costs current homebuyers face, I ran some real-world calculations to demonstrate the dramatic difference in monthly payments across common home prices and standard down payments compared to early 2022.<\/p>\n<p>By isolating the principal and interest on a standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, we can clearly see how much more expensive it has become to finance the exact same home today at a 6.5% interest rate compared to the 3.2% rates available at the start of 2022.<\/p>\n<p>To keep these parameters clean and simple, each of the following three scenarios assumes a standard 20% cash down payment, leaving an 80% loan balance to be financed over 30 years. Taxes, homeowners&#8217; insurance, and HOA fees are excluded since they vary wildly by zip code, but the raw numbers alone tell a staggering story.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Note: <\/strong>This piece of financial journalism is for educational purposes only and not for formal tax or investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/retirement\/charles-schwab-vanguard-a-costly-cash-choice-on-401ks-iras\">Related: Charles Schwab, Vanguard: A costly cash choice on 401(k)s, IRAs<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p> .<\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/durhammovinghub.com\/?p=3515\">Jodie Sweetin Recalls &#8216;Full House&#8217; Pilot With Another Actor as Danny Tanner<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"summary gray\">This story was originally published <span class=\"inline-block\">June 29, 2026 at 8:07 AM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As mortgage rates have remained consistently high since the middle of May, attention in the housing market continues to focus on the affordability crisis that began in 2022, as post-pandemic inflation became the primary focus of federal monetary policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3520,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-read-todays-edition"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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